Baccarat Card Counting System: What Is It And Does It Work?

And so on… As you can see, there is no need to remember the cards. This baccarat strategy only asks you to do basic calculations. Now, if the result is 16 or higher, you should bet on the player. If it is 15 or lower, your bet should be on the banker. Simple, right? This baccarat card counting values system can be used by everyone and you don’t need to be a mathematical savant in order to understand it. The result of these calculations gives you an idea about which side is more likely to win the round and it works, to an extent. Since we did not make a “real” baccarat card counting, this strategy won’t guarantee the results every time but it will still be better than playing by “luck”. This is the most basic baccarat card counting formula that can be used by anyone but it is not the only one: There are other card counting methods too, which we will mention below.

John May’s Card Counting System for the Tie Bet

Card counting works in almost all deck-based games, and whenever somebody mentions baccarat strategy, card counting in baccarat comes up. Well, there are card counting systems that can work and some of them can be used even by beginners – in other words, there are simple methods that can work to “beat” baccarat. One of such methods was been crafted by John May, a reputable authority figure in all things baccarat.

According to him, tie bets are the only bets worthy of baccarat counting. This is because they are the most profitable and being very profitable makes them very rare.
John May’s baccarat counting system gives you a 62% chance of landing a tie. In this card counting strategy, when all the odd cards have been removed from the deck, the only available cards are 0, 2, 4, 6, and 8. With these cards remaining, the possibility of getting a tie bet is doubled. To spot this opportunity, start counting cards from 0 and + 1 for every odd card dealt. When the count is up to 160, the possibility of getting a tie is 62%, so you can place your tie bet.

Other Card Counting Systems For Baccarat

Some baccarat games, especially the ones of Asian origin, offer a fourth betting option: Insurance bet. This is a way of ensuring natural 8s and 9s, which means the player can insurance a round if the first two cards of the banker are 8s or 9s (or vice versa). Doing this will allow you to see the first two cards dealt, so the counting will change too.

This is called card counting baccarat side bets or baccarat insurance card counting. In the card counting baccarat tie bet, all cards except 9 have negative (-1) values. Only the 9s are worth 12 points.

Here is a simple rotation:

• In the first hand, we get 3, 4 (-1 + – 1 = -2)
• In the second hand, we get Q, 5 (-1 + – 1 = -2 / -2 + -2 = -4)
• In the third hand, we get 9, 2 (12 + -1 = 11 / 11 + -4 = 7)
• In the fourth hand, we get 8, 10 (-1 + – 1 = -2 / -2 + 7 = 5)

And so on… The overall values are the same, if the total is under 15, bet on the banker. If it is over, bet on the player. The famous Mr. Thorp also developed a specific card counting tactic for baccarat: This system uses different values for player and banker bets, and you need to choose accordingly. The values you need to know are shown in the table below:

When formulating the best card counting strategy, you need to know the effect of removing any of the cards on the house edge. When there is a negative value, the player will be at a loss, and a positive value is good for the player. Use this card counting guide to know the effects of removing a card.

NB: These values are multiplied by ten million as the real values are too small to deal with.

To know if a bet will be profitable, divide the count by the ratio of cards left to get the true count. This is best done using a baccarat card counting calculator

So, if you want to bet on the banker, you should do your calculations according to the right side column, for example. Mr. Thorp states that this system gives a slightly better house edge in baccarat, but also mentions a downside: It takes too many rounds for the strategy to become effective.

Simply put, yes – this is the good news. As mentioned above, all card counting systems work in most casino games,  including baccarat. If Casino games are your weak spot we’ve got just the article for you! Come check out our Online Casino Games Guide. You can try playing a live baccarat game such as Speed Baccarat at online casinos with live dealers and see how effective they are. The bad news is, card counting is not as effective as it is in blackjack. There is a very simple reason for this: In blackjack, the cards that favor the player are easily recognizable. In baccarat, however, both sides (player/banker) are the same when it comes to favorable cards.

This does not make card counting ineffective, but it makes the system “longer”. In other words, you can start making a profit after a couple of rounds in blackjack. But card counting baccarat will need much more rounds until you start to make money: In other words, you will need a much bigger budget. And since both sides are equal in this game, counting cards will never be 100% effective. It will increase your chances, sure, but will you able to last until that happens? That’s why most of the casinos allow you to use a baccarat card counting calculator on the table: They know even if you can perfectly count all cards, you will still need a lot of time in order to make a profit. (And yes, you can use baccarat card counting apps and take notes while playing baccarat in casinos, this is perfectly legal.)

With this counting cards explained article, you now know how to get a better chance while playing baccarat whether playing at an online baccarat casino or a physical casino, just make sure to follow our guide ‘to the t’.  To even get a better chance of winning at baccarat, you can combine card counting with the 1324 baccarat strategy.

As long as you can back yourself up until you see the results of card counting. And no matter how successful you are, the profits will never be as high as in blackjack – this is due to the rules of baccarat, and there is nothing you can do. Nevertheless, even the slightest increase in chance can tip the tables in your favor, and card counting does exactly that. As we always say, it is better than trusting only your “luck”. Play a couple of baccarat online games and test all of the card counting methods we mentioned in this article by yourself. Read our casino reviews to find the best places to do this (and don’t forget to take advantage of casino bonuses). We are one of the best online baccarat sites around and we will keep informing you about this game: Visit us often to see the latest tactics, tricks, and strategies. Make sure you also check out our Baccarat Banque and Punto Banco, 20 Card Keno strategies. Good luck out there!

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